An interesting take on the Economic mess we are in

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mattl

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I came across this, and while I don't buy every point she makes I think she makes a number or valid arguments about how we got to where we are. I don't think any one action resulted in this mess, but a collection of ideas and policies that led us here.

Blaming the Victims: Heroic American Consumers

Ann Pettifor

Author, Debtonation - The Coming First World Debt Crisis

Commentators like to beat up on ordinary Americans. They're accused of borrowing mindlessly, of greed and materialism. Yet high levels of debt and consumption were not the result of millions of individual decisions by consumers. They were the result of a deliberate economic 'regime change' in the 1970s -- that transformed the US economy, and cut American incomes as a share of GDP.

The Great Depression 2.0 is just beginning to unfold. Bankers are bailed out while making a grab for bonuses. Ordinary Americans by contrast, are already being bankrupted, made jobless, homeless and hungry -- in huge numbers. But until recently it was these Americans that were heroically driving the global economy forward.

They did this by borrowing and spending. But they were not 'naturally' inclined to borrow. They were driven to it. By stagnating incomes, and by the deliberate policies of government, regulators and bankers.

While wages and salaries shrank as a share of the economy -- to the lowest level since the government began recording data in 1947 -- banks showered Americans with credit cards. 'Easy money' was spread around like confetti. And government urged Americans to spend. George Bush famously said "Shopping is patriotic" in late September, 2001.

Then Bush-Cheney doubled the deficit, bankers gambled and Americans borrowed and shopped. Consumers maxed out on their credit cards and mortgages and worked harder and longer -- squeezed by the demand for higher productivity. By so doing, they played a gallant role in driving forward the engine of US economic growth.

They did more. They powered global economic growth. China owes a great deal to American consumers -- as does Europe.

Today these same consumers are punished mercilessly for their heroism.

Take the latest jobless numbers. A rise of nearly 600,000 in January. Electrifying. The highest in the US for 27 years -- and we're just at the beginning of Depression 2.0 -- courtesy of George Bush, the Federal Reserve and the reckless finance sector. There are now about 13 million Americans unemployed or under-employed. That's an awful lot of people. And a frightening level of individual and household stress, isolation and anger.

But it is worse than that. Not only have Americans lost jobs, income, health care and self-esteem -- they've lost their homes too. Last year there were 3,157,806 foreclosure filings -- an 81 percent increase from 2007 and a 225 percent increase from 2006. That's millions of Americans losing their family life, their comforts, their investments and their security. RealtyTrac projects another 2 million homes will be lost in this way over 2009.

And it gets even worse. By November, 2008, 31 million Americans needed government help for the most basic necessity of life -- food. This is an increase of 14% in just one year. And as the data is slow to catch up with layoffs, hundreds of thousands more will have joined the food stamps queue by now.

From 1945 to the 1970s Americans produced and manufactured food, goods and services -- in the post-war period called 'the golden age'.

They were dull but prosperous times. Sundays were Sundays. 24/7 was a distant reality. People had jobs. Companies made profits. Bank managers talked to their customers. And there were no financial crises -- at all -- between 1945 and the 1970s.

But this 'golden age' was to be overturned. The revolution was launched by a highly ideological group of economists -- mainly of the Chicago School.

Decision-makers in government and at the Fed, seduced by their economic theories -- decided that it would be better and more profitable if Americans stopped producing and making things. They argued that there was no harm in the United States relocating 4.5 million jobs abroad -- mainly to China -- between 2001 and 2009. US workers could switch to service jobs such as hairdressing, retail and real estate -- with long working hours.

The revolution was started by Chicago's first convert -- Richard Nixon in 1971. It was carried forward by the Reagan and Clinton administrations. Soon it became more profitable to grow money from money than to grow maize, textiles or steel.

Building up debts and deficits became acceptable. During the Bush-Cheney years the national debt doubled from $5.7 trillion to $10.7 trillion. 'Reagan proved ...deficits don't matter' said Dick Cheney in 2001.

Making money from money became the aim of economic policy. Chicago economists argued that private bankers could be trusted to create and distribute credit. That the US economy could safely be held aloft by a credit-fueled shopping spree. Shopping became the major economic activity.

Today the finance sector grabs more than 30% of domestic corporate profits -- double its share 25 years ago. And fully 75% of US GDP is down to personal consumption expenditures -- up from around 60% in the 1960s.

Today millions are jobless, homeless and hungry.

Their discontent threatens social upheaval and radical change. Another economic transformation will no doubt take root. But will the architects of America's financial collapse be identified and held to account for the suffering inflicted on millions of heroic and innocent American consumers? Or will it be the victims, once again, that will be blamed?

 
It will be the vicitims who get the shaft

because too many Americans are still brainwashed into believing the lies the republicans tell them.

It is said, but until Joe 6 pack wakes up and sees that there is nothing Marxist/Leninist/fascist/socialist/un-Christian about keeping value-added production in the US, until he realizes that tax-cuts which reward the wealthy for taking their capital out of the productive sector is not good for job-creation...well, I am not hopeful.

She's hit some of the basic reasons for this mess right on the nail. Unfortunately, there are few republicans left who are capable of non MBA thought processes...and not all that many democrats, either.

The stimulus bill is far to little. We need to at least double if not triple it and add a provision that what the states don't spend or concretely allocate to be spent within the next three months goes to their most hated neighboring state (except the Rocky Mountain West states, their share would go to Texas if they didn't get their asses in gear.)
 
They Shoot Horses, Don't They?

Yes it's global... but I was surprised to learn, recently, that the Great Depression hit the USA much harder than in some other places, like Europe. Just why, I don't know.

I'm a little depressed that my teenage angst prediction way back in the late 60's that another Great Depression could happen again seems now like a possible outcome. I've been pretty conservative financially, my only debt is for the home mortgage, fixed interest rate, and it's about 1/2 paid off. I just wish I had economized even more when I was making big bucks and had paid it all off while it was still theoretically possible. I'd feel a lot better today if it were paid off (who wouldn't?). Sign of the times. Back in the late 90's, all the financial advisers were recommending against paying off a mortgage early.

I'm thinking of studying more about how people got by in the Depression to help prepare for the worst.

Anybody remember the movie, "They Shoot Horses, Don't They?".
 
Wisdom in the elderly maybe?

Interesting reading this just before my employer transferred me from my old store into my new one I used to chat with my main elderly volunteer Eva about the state of the world,Eva used to warn me that there will be another 1930's type depression due to the endless and ever expanding use of credit and debt.
Eva used to stockpile cans of soup,canned vegetables,longlife milk etc,and keep in in her pantry for when the day would come.
Eva is 83 years old was a young girl in the great depression and knows what it is like to go without.
I feel Mrs. Pettifor makes some very valid points in her article, the public were and still are encouraged to use credit cards and get personal loans for things they want and or need instead of saving for them.
There were even incidents reported here in Australia of banks just sending credit carss in the mail to households left right and centre,to shcool age kids, one lady even received one in the mail for her cat!!!!!!!!!!,so that is clearly how people were seduced into have now pay later.
Funnily enough Mr. Gerry Harvey the owner of Harvey Norman stores here says he has never seen the retail sector so weak as it is now,and yet Mr. Harvey's stores bombard us nearly every night on television with commercials urging us to buy now and get 4 years interest free terms to pay it off(with a raft of hidden traps.).
That being said the consumers themselves must share some of the blame, simply because they could have said no and restricted their own use of credit and simply got used to living within their own means.
 

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